This week the Rudd Government released details of their strategy to reduce Australia's CO2 emissions by introducing a carbon trading scheme.
At first I thought Australia was going all out and announcing a 5% CO2 reduction from 1990 levels, but then I checked the scale and it's just from the 2000 levels, and doesn't include all emitters. Which is really a reduction of... fuck, these figures are hard to find. It is actually really hard to find the data for CO2 emissions for anything more than a few years, and even harder to find multiple sources to verify it. Although I'm sure the government is using rock solid data and not doing what I've been doing and searching Google.
But let's talk about this 5%. It's actually quite surprising that Rudd would have been so forthright announcing this benchmark scale when his figure was so low on it. I mean, if he had said "We are reducing our emissions by 24%... from projected 2020 levels" then it would have sounded much better.
Listening to the vox-pop on PM the other day it was clear that no-one actually knew or cared about the scale, they were just angry about the number. "Five percent is almost nothing", "Why even bother?", "Why not just do nothing?"
Well, for a start our carbon emissions are still increasing right? So doing nothing would actually be "reducing our emissions by -23%" or whatever on the scale Rudd has chosen. Lets not forget that the much loved Kyoto Protocol was not actually calling for a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, but rather a reduction in the increase of carbon dioxide emissions. Baby steps.
Is it enough? Who knows. Probably not because, while both sides are not happy, the greens are much more not happy than the Chamber of Commerce are. That's your basic yardstick for judging controversial decisions. With this one, I think Rudd could have gone a little bit further, but ten percent was probably too much of a stretch and he probably likes nice neat numbers like 5.
But what is this 5% anyway? Is everyone using this scale? Does it take into account population growth? Why did we choose 2000?
I think it's confusing and I say we need a new unit to simplify thing. Luckily I just happen to have invented one and because I invented it I think I will call it the Coxy. The Coxy rating is a number between 0 and infinity that shows how well a country is doing in the battle to save the planet. It also averages out the scores a bit so you can't just go all out one year to get in the record books then ease off the gas. It is a simple formula that looks like this:

It's the average CO2 output from 20XX (whichever year you are measuring) minus 5 years until 20XX, divided by the average CO2 output from 1990 until 1995, then we plus and add stuff to get a number between 0 and a billion. 100 means you have done nothing, 0 means you no longer emit any CO2, 200 means you have doubled your output. But then we subtract the % that your country makes of the World's population and add the % of the World's CO2 your country produces. So you lose Coxys for having a big population and small CO2 output (good), gain Coxys for having a small population and large CO2 output (bad) and get no change for emitting an amount proportional to your population. Everyone wants have a Coxy rating of under 100.
So instead of Kevin Rudd getting up and saying we want a 5% reduction from 2000 levels by 2020 excluding blah blah blah, he can just say we want a Coxy2020 of 96 or something. Everyone will still complain because 96 is too close to 100 and they know 100 is doing nothing (after a worldwide Coxy education campaign) but at least we will all be on the same page. Any moronic talk-back caller will easily be able to compare Australia's CO2 reduction performance with the rest of the world. Simple
Who's with me, and better yet, who's got a good slogan?
Labels: Environment